Expected Goals

Download or read book Soccermatics written by David Sumpter and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2016-05-05 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Football looked at in a very different way' Pat Nevin, former Chelsea and Everton star and football media analyst Football – the most mathematical of sports. From shot statistics and league tables to the geometry of passing and managerial strategy, the modern game is filled with numbers, patterns and shapes. How do we make sense of them? The answer lies in the mathematical models applied in biology, physics and economics. Soccermatics brings football and mathematics together in a mind-bending synthesis, using numbers to help reveal the inner workings of the beautiful game. This new and expanded edition analyses the current big-name players and teams using mathematics, and meets the professionals working inside football who use numbers and statistics to boost performance. Welcome to the world of mathematical modelling, expressed brilliantly by David Sumpter through the prism of football. No matter who you follow – from your local non-league side to the big boys of the Premiership, La Liga, the Bundesliga, Serie A or the MLS – you'll be amazed at what mathematics has to teach us about the world's favourite sport.

Download or read book written by and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 470 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book How to Win the Premier League written by Ian Graham and published by Random House. This book was released on 2024-08-15 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: THE SUNDAY TIMES BESTSELLER 'The best book on football I have ever read' Daniel Finkelstein 'Fascinating and educational. An enjoyable and informative read' Sir Kenny Dalglish 'Deserves a place among the great modern books on football' Sam Wallace, chief football writer, Telegraph ______________________________ The insider account of the data revolution that has swept through the modern football world written by one of its key architects, Ian Graham. Between 2012 and 2023, Ian Graham worked as Liverpool FC's Director of Research. His tenure coincided with the club’s greatest period of success since the 1980s, including winning the Premier League in 2020 – Liverpool’s first league title after an agonising three decades. Here for the first time, Graham reveals the fascinating data that informed some of the club’s most pivotal moments of the past decade, from the appointment of Jurgen Klopp as manager in 2015 to the signing of Mohamed Salah in 2017. Along the way, he shares groundbreaking insight into the modern game, including how a season largely played behind closed doors transformed our understanding of home team advantage, or why the GOAT (greatest of all time) might not be who you think. And, in a game that is increasingly dominated by an elite few, Graham charts a path for the future where a data-savvy competitor will always find the edge. ______________________________ 'A fascinating, witty and remarkably insightful account of Liverpool's reinvention and a clear-eyed, detailed explanation of the inner workings of modern football. Nobody is better qualified to tell either of those stories than Ian Graham, who stands as one of the most (quietly) significant figures in the recent history of the club and the sport' Rory Smith, author of Expected Goals and Chief Soccer Correspondent, New York Times 'Never before has the data revolution in football been described so well from the inside.' Christoph Biermann, author of Football Hackers ‘How to Win the Premier League gives you three books for the price of one: a book about all of the silly inefficiencies plaguing European football, a book about what it's like to be empowered to use outside-the-box thinking to help turn your boyhood club into the best team in the world, and a book about how football actually works. If he really wanted to, Ian could easily put me out of a job.’ Ryan O’Hanlon, author of Net Gains and staff writer ESPN *A Sunday Times bestseller August 2024

Download or read book Outnumbered written by David Sumpter and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2018-04-19 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Fascinating' - Financial Times Algorithms are running our society, and as the Cambridge Analytica story has revealed, we don't really know what they are up to. Our increasing reliance on technology and the internet has opened a window for mathematicians and data researchers to gaze through into our lives. Using the data they are constantly collecting about where we travel, where we shop, what we buy and what interests us, they can begin to predict our daily habits. But how reliable is this data? Without understanding what mathematics can and can't do, it is impossible to get a handle on how it is changing our lives. In this book, David Sumpter takes an algorithm-strewn journey to the dark side of mathematics. He investigates the equations that analyse us, influence us and will (maybe) become like us, answering questions such as: - Who are Cambridge Analytica? And what are they doing with our data? - How does Facebook build a 100-dimensional picture of your personality? - Are Google algorithms racist and sexist? - Why do election predictions fail so drastically? - Are algorithms that are designed to find criminals making terrible mistakes? - What does the future hold as we relinquish our decision-making to machines? Featuring interviews with those working at the cutting edge of algorithm research, including Alex Kogan from the Cambridge Analytica story, along with a healthy dose of mathematical self-experiment, Outnumbered explains how mathematics and statistics work in the real world, and what we should and shouldn't worry about. A lot of people feel outnumbered by algorithms – don't be one of them.

Download or read book Numbercrunch written by Professor Oliver Johnson and published by Heligo Books. This book was released on 2023-03-02 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Lucid and entertaining. With barely an equation in sight, Numbercrunch makes a passionate case for how just a little bit more numeracy could help us all' - Tom Whipple, The Times 'The perfect introduction to the power of mathematics - fluent, friendly and practical' - Tim Harford, bestselling author of How to Make the World Add Up In our hyper-modern world, we are bombarded with more facts, stats and information than ever before. So, what can we grasp hold of to make sense of it all? Oliver Johnson reveals how mathematical thinking can help us understand the myriad data all around us. From the exponential growth of viruses to social media filter-bubbles; from share price fluctuations to the cost of living; from the datafication of our sports pages to quantifying climate change. Not to mention the things much closer to home: ever wondered when the best time is to leave a party? What are the chances of rain ruining your barbecue this weekend? How about which queue is the best to join in the supermarket? Journeying through three sections - Randomness, Structure, and Information - we meet a host of brilliant minds, such Alan Turing, Enrico Fermi and Claude Shannon, and are equipped with the tools to cut through the noise all around us - from the Law of Large Numbers to Entropy to Brownian Motion. Lucid, surprising, and endlessly entertaining, Numbercrunch equips you with a definitive mathematician's toolkit to make sense of your world.

Download or read book Soccer Analytics written by Clive Beggs and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-03-11 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sports analytics is on the rise, with top soccer clubs, bookmakers, and broadcasters all employing statisticians and data scientists to gain an edge over their competitors. Many popular books have been written exploring the mathematics of soccer. However, few supply details on how soccer data can be analysed in real-life. The book addresses this issue via a practical route one approach designed to show readers how to successfully tackle a range of soccer related problems using the easy-to-learn computer language R. Through a series of easy-to-follow examples, the book explains how R can be used to: Download and edit soccer data Produce graphics and statistics Predict match outcomes and final league positions Formulate betting strategies Rank teams Construct passing networks Assess match play Soccer Analytics: An Introduction Using R is a comprehensive introduction to soccer analytics aimed at all those interested in analysing soccer data, be they fans, gamblers, coaches, sports scientists, or data scientists and statisticians wishing to pursue a career in professional soccer. It aims to equip the reader with the knowledge and skills required to confidently analyse soccer data using R, all in a few easy lessons.

Download or read book Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets written by Enrique Dóal Pérez Frías and published by Enrique Dóal Pérez Frías. This book was released on 2023-09-23 with total page 349 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What variables are relevant to predict the future results of a football team? Are there any inefficiencies in the betting markets that can be exploited? How many games are necessary to correctly measure the level of a team or a footballer? Is it better to bet on a team that is on a winning streak or is it better to bet on a team that is on a losing streak? What is the probability that a team that has just been promoted will be relegated in the next few seasons? What is the optimal size and composition of a team squad? How are the best and worst clubs different? What are the best bookmakers? In this book the reader will find the answer to these and many other questions about the beautiful game, thanks to data mining techniques applied to a historical database of more than 200,000 football matches and a statistical approach explained in an easily accesible style.