Blame It On The Bet

Download or read book The Bet written by Rachel Van Dyken and published by Forever. This book was released on 2013-06-25 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Indulge in this "laugh-out-loud" (Jill Shalvis) #1 New York Times bestseller about two childhood enemies who--decades later--discover that there is a fine line between love and hate. "I have a proposition for you." Kacey should have run the minute those words left Seattle millionaire Jake Titus's mouth. It's been years since Kacey's seen her childhood friend Jake, but the minute Jake mentions his ill grandmother, Kacey is ready to do anything for the sweet old woman. And if that means pretending they're engaged for her sake, so be it. But Kacey wasn't counting on Jake's older brother Travis still being there. She calls him "Satan" for a reason: she's never forgotten the way he teased and taunted her. Yet when they meet again, Travis's gorgeous smile is a direct hit to her heart . . . and Kacey's more confused than ever. As the days pass, only one thing starts to become alarmingly clear -- she never should have accepted Jake's deal.

Download or read book Preference, Belief, and Similarity written by Amos Tversky and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2003-11-21 with total page 1046 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Amos Tversky (1937–1996), a towering figure in cognitive and mathematical psychology, devoted his professional life to the study of similarity, judgment, and decision making. He had a unique ability to master the technicalities of normative ideals and then to intuit and demonstrate experimentally their systematic violation due to the vagaries and consequences of human information processing. He created new areas of study and helped transform disciplines as varied as economics, law, medicine, political science, philosophy, and statistics. This book collects forty of Tversky's articles, selected by him in collaboration with the editor during the last months of Tversky's life. It is divided into three sections: Similarity, Judgment, and Preferences. The Preferences section is subdivided into Probabilistic Models of Choice, Choice under Risk and Uncertainty, and Contingent Preferences. Included are several articles written with his frequent collaborator, Nobel Prize-winning economist Daniel Kahneman.

Download or read book Thinking in Bets written by Annie Duke and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2019-05-07 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.

Download or read book Gold & Glory written by Luke Marusiak and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2014-09-24 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Five from Pennsylvania, a diverse group themselves, join one of the most eclectic and talented group ever assembled that includes exU.S. Military fresh from victories in both the Cold War and Desert Storm; young PhDs from the United States, Asia, India, Europe, and Israel, the recent surge of technical women in the workforce; and AT&T Bell Labs expatriates in the 1990s Silicon Valley. This team and their company do what pundits long believed impossiblebeat the Japanese in computer chip semiconductor equipment manufacturing. Defying both the government-subsidized consortium and the presumed inexorable American technical decline, the group takes on all comers in a risky and audacious strategy to dominate an industry long given up as lost. The passionate clashes, heartbreaking losses, and stunning achievements highlight the lives, hopes, and dreams in one of the great untold stories of the 1990s. This novel is part of the Good Fight Series and continues the stories of the characters from Marx & Ford, Loud & Clear, and Fear & Hope. The Good Fight Series follows these characters into the tumultuous early years of the twenty-first century in the upcoming Thump & Riposte.

Download or read book The Essential Tversky written by Amos Tversky and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-07-17 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some of the best and most influential papers by Amos Tversky, one of the most brilliant social science thinkers of the twentieth century. Amos Tversky (1937–1996) was a towering figure in the cognitive and decision sciences. His work was ingenious, exciting, and influential, spanning topics from intuition to statistics to behavioral economics. His long and extraordinarily productive collaboration with his friend and colleague Daniel Kahneman was the subject of Michael Lewis's best-selling book, The Undoing Project: A Friendship that Changed Our Minds. The Essential Tversky offers a selection of Tversky's best, most influential and accessible papers, “classics” chosen to capture the essence of Tversky's thought. The impact of Tversky's work is far reaching and long-lasting. In 2002, Kahneman, who drew on their joint work in his much-praised 2013 book, Thinking, Fast and Slow (and who contributes an afterword to this collection), was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for work done with Tversky. In The Undoing Project, Lewis (who contributes a foreword to this collection) describes his discovery that Tversky and Kahneman's thinking laid the foundation for Moneyball, his own ode to number-crunching. The papers collected in The Essential Tversky cover topics that include cognitive and perceptual bias, misguided beliefs, inconsistent preferences, risky choice and loss aversion decisions, and psychological common sense. Together, they offer nonspecialist readers an introduction to one of the most brilliant social science thinkers of the twentieth century.

Download or read book ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMANS DECISION PROCESSES written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Bet on Talent written by Dee Ann Turner and published by Baker Books. This book was released on 2019-09-03 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When it comes to running a business, the most important decisions a leader makes are not about products or locations--they're about people. For the past 33 years, Dee Ann Turner has been recruiting, training, and retaining some of the best employees in the restaurant business. Now she's ready to share her secrets on how to build, sustain, and grow an organizational culture that attracts world-class talent and consistently delights customers, no matter what your industry. In Bet on Talent, Turner shows you how to - create a remarkable company culture - select, sustain, and steward talent - nurture internal relationships - create company loyalty that leads to customer loyalty - instill the practice of servant leadership within your organization - treat everyone with honor, dignity, and respect - and much more